While I am sure there are a number of reasons that lead to states success or failure, I am not sure we can determine them because we don't have much data. There are about 200 sovereign states so if you should use less than log_2(200) ~ 8 criteria if you want your theory to make sense.
You can try to use history to add some data, but on the other hand, many smallish states will have similar criteria (history, culture, geography,...) so that diminishes you data set.
In addition, while you could try to use this to make predictions, the time scale is so big that I don't think the whole endeavor is very useful.
You can try to use history to add some data, but on the other hand, many smallish states will have similar criteria (history, culture, geography,...) so that diminishes you data set.
In addition, while you could try to use this to make predictions, the time scale is so big that I don't think the whole endeavor is very useful.