As far as I understand run rate revenue is just a fancy way of saying that "the last month we had sales, and if that continues for a year we will have a AAR of 30B. meaning it's not 30B yet, but the sales numbers indicates that we get there by continue selling at the current speed. But to have revenue of $100 and get $30B in ARR I guess the period looked at needs to be seconds....

(Run Rate = Revenue in Period / # of Days in Period x 365)

Not even that. It's not based on actual sales in, for example, the past month. It's based on an expected continuous growth based on the growth of the past month (or whatever period you pick).

It's a forecast.

I cant say what all companies does. But my google seaches and and chatgpt Do not agree with you on that. They stick to actual sales.

I have never heard of SaaS companies reporting ARR like this.

Yeah this is not ARR but run rate revenue. when i was doing SASS we always used ARR, not run rate, but it seems to be a thing

We move slow. But the clima for change is here now, it's been brewing for a decade or so. Expect Europe to not use more money on US services the next two decade. So with inflation you will really see a significant decline. My 5 cents

Yeah. For me threatening to invade Greenland was a super red flag. I have not cared about US privacy & security laws. Even if people have talked about it and snowden exposed a lot, over a decade ago.

But by treating Greenland...

I see a real shift in the political environment from the EU [1]

1. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-is-crossroads-toward...

My _feeling_ is that a lot of EU/European politicians has talked a lot more about the need to be independent from the US after Trump threaten Greenland. At least in the nordic countries. Not only concerning data & privacy, but defence, communications, space etc. All areas. The wheel has started to turn. You will not see it if you look around. But in 10 years time, maybe more, Europe will have stopped depending on the US. And that will hit US hard. We pay a lot of money in services to the US.

The politicians can talk, but they needed to set up an environment that would've let a European company have a decent shot at competing with the best AI models. But they didn't. Should've thought of that before being proud of setting up those strict tech regulations.

That is not how EU does things. If you want no regulation and access to capital you should go to the US.

AI will take over a lot and the biggest AI company will be in US and China. But there will be room for Europe also on the top 10 list.

But there will be an environment that is creating sovereignty from US much more the before. We have learned our lesson

Will there be room for Europe though? Doesn't look like it based on other tech markets.

Even with e/os/ or another u De-googled version of android?

Not directly to you but in general: I do not think (most) of Europe is going the same direction as US. I actually see a lot of hope in response to EU leaders about digital infrastructure, communication & security. we have started to stop realing on America, but it will take 10-20 years before you see the entire crash trump made

Yea sorry I was speaking from the U.S. perspective. But still Europe is still involved in certain things like age gating. That is a clear sign that there are some entrenched interests that want to erode privacy on that front. I hope that moving away from U.S. corps for communication services happens. We (U.S.) really need a kick in the pants. I feel like there is authoritarian agendas everywhere now though.

I would like to see the prompt they are using. I asked CLaude to generate a password and email to a new user and im quite sure he used /dev/urandom in some way. I would expect most llm to do that as long as they have cli access

I think that is a bit to easy. MAY is described ar optional.

SHOULD - Should really be there. It's not MUST, you can ignore it but do not come crying if your email is not delivered to some of your customers ! you should have though about that before.

I moved everything on github to a self hosted foregjo instanse some days ago. I really did not do anything. Created some tokens so that CC could access github and forgejo and my dns API. Self hosting is so much simpler and easier with AI. Expect more people to self host small to medium stuff.

Ironic that that same AI you're mentioning is probably a large part of why this class of outages are increasing. Id highly recommend folks understand their infrastructure enough to setup/run it without AI before they put anything critical on it.

Sure. I can agree with that. At the same time, the reason people aren't doing it is not solely a skill issue. It's also a matter of time, energy, and what you want to prioritise.

I believe I have good enough control over it to fix issues that may arise. But then again, CC will probably do it faster. I will most likely not need to fix my own issues, but if needed, I think I will be able to.

"Critical" plays an important role in what you're saying. The true core of any business is something you should have good control over. You should also accept that less important parts are OK for AI to handle.

I think the non-critical part is a larger part than most people think.

We are lagging behind in understanding what AI can handle for us.

I'm an optimistic grey beard, even if the writing makes me sound like a naive youth :)

Yeah, once you start self-hosting your code, it’s kind of nice having control over everything. Makes you think about moving other stuff, like analytics, to something self-hosted too.

That is 100% true. You cant be fired for picking AWS... But I doubt its the best choice for most people. Sad but true

Schrodingers user;

Simultaneously too confused to be able to make their own UX choices, but smart enough to understand the backend of your infrastructure enough to know why it doesn't work and excuses you for it.

The morning national TV news (BBC) was interrupted with this as breaking news, and about how many services (specifically snapchat for some reason) are down because of problems with "Amazon's Web Services, reported on DownDetector"

I liked your point though!

Well, at that level of user they just know "the internet is acting up this morning"

I thought we didn't like when things were "too big to fail" (like the banks being bailed out because if we didn't the entire fabric of our economy would collapse; which emboldens them to take more risks and do it again).

A typical manager/customer understands just enough to ask their inferiors to make their f--- cloud platform work, why haven't you fixed it yet? I need it!

In technically sophisticated organizations, this disconnect simply floats to higher levels (e.g. CEO vs. CTO rather than middle manager vs. engineer).

You can't be fired, but you burn through your runway quicker. No matter which option you choose, there is some exothermic oxidative process involved.

AWS is smart enough to throw you a few mill credits to get you started.

MILL?!

I only got €100.000 bounded to a year, then a 20% discount for spend in the next year.

(I say "only" because that certainly would be a sweeter pill, €100.000 in "free" credits is enough to make you get hooked, because you can really feel the free-ness in the moment).

Mille is thousand in Latin so they might have meant a few thousand dollars.

Every one of the big hyperscalers has a big outage from time to time.

Unless you lose a significant amount of money per minute of downtime, there is no incentive to go multicloud.

And multicloud has its own issues.

In the end, you live with the fact that your service might be down a day or two per year.

> In the end, you live with the fact that your service might be down a day or two per year.

This is hilarious. In the 90s we used to have services which ran on machines in cupboards which would go down because the cleaner would unplug them. Even then a day or two per year would be unacceptable.

When we looked at this our conclusion was not multi cloud but local resiliency with cloud augmentation. We still had our own small data center

Usually, 2 founders creating a startup can't fire each other anyway so a bad decision can still be very bad for lots of people in this forum

shame, I remember having a lot of issues getting ts-lint to work with test runners a few years back.