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> probably depopulate critical areas around the coasts while ships transit.

(looks at map) the city of Bandar Abbas, population ~500k? It's already being hit as it contains the Iranian Navy HQ, but actually depopulating it is a much bigger project.


Iran already had severe water problems. Attacking the water infrastructure would definitely cause huge civilian casualties. Israel is used to that. Not clear whether America is ready to go into the midterms with an official policy of US-flagged genocide.

There has been (I think) relatively minor hits. And Iran has retaliated in kind (see the latest hit on Kuwaiti desalination plant).

The thing is that while Iran's water infrastructure is vulnerable, the Gulf states are much more reliant on desalination ... and hitting them hard there would be a total disaster ... which Iran is capable of doing, but has so far refrained.


> Attacking the water infrastructure would definitely cause huge civilian casualties

I personally think there is a wide barrier between electrical and water infrastructure. But given water infra has allegedly been hit already, it doesn’t feel like it’s off the table for both sides the way it once was.


"No Kings" isn't a distraction, it's very tangible popular opposition, and they're certainly not in favor of the war?

It muddies the waters by focusing on divisive issues like immigration enforcement and de-emphasizing the war, preventing what could be a unified left-and-right antiwar movement.

Plain anti-war protests could draw significant support across the political spectrum, so divisive issues are inserted as wedges. Same thing that happened in the 60's, when the anti-war movement went from a coat-and-tie affair to a laurel canyon one.


If you think the No Kings movement is preventing a unified front against the war, you haven't been paying attention to the political discourse in the US since the rise of the Tea Party 15+ years ago.


So Indivisible, which planned the protest, knew the US was going to attack Iran months in advance and plotted this protest to distract from it? What strategic masterminds! What opsec! The left always seemed so fractious and disorganized, but they were just wily, biding their time. But, why?

Seriously, I'm sure you're smart enough to know this is absurd. Just sit down and think about it a bit.


There will be no public rapprochement between the right and the left pretty much anywhere in the world.

They are fed by entirely different media machines.

If you like, its a coordination problem where the various groups no longer have the commons of a shared reality to coordinate through.


It's not just the "media machines". These two sides have completely different moral values.

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Caring about others and wanting a fair, even handed and democratic government is not self-righteous you muppet. All you are doing is trying to justify your shitty ideals.

You'll notice it's about how it makes the poster feel.

Complaints against the right are usually about their actions, the terrible consequences and how they hurt people.

Complaints against the left are often how it makes the complainer feel, it's a mental struggle to not admit they like the result of right wing policies and not being able to embrace a left wing position despite knowing on some level that they should.


There is no anti-war movement on the right. The only time there is, is when a Right-winger is trying to win an election. Once said right winger inevitably starts a war, the pom poms come out.

Tucker Carlson is perhaps the most popular commentator on the right and has a significant following and he is adamantly anti-war.

There is a legitimate cross-ideology opportunity here that the war party (which spans both american political parties) is desperate to keep from materializing.


I think you are ignorant about the nuances of the US right. It is not a monolithic block anymore than the US left is.

Prominent right-wing figures who are against this war:

- Tucker Carlson

- Thomas Massie

- Candace Owens

- Marjorie Taylor Greene

- Rand Paul

- Steve Bannon

- Nick Fuentes

- Matt Gaetz

Honourable mentions:

- Joe Rogan (I know many people on HN would consider him right wing)

- Charlie Kirk (in the months leading up to his death he said it would be a "catastrophic mistake")

Trump's approval rating has dropped -16.7 points: this represents many of his core supporters bleeding away.


If everyone just noticed that they have to vote left the world would be a paradise /S

You can't vote left in the US, there are no left parties and no left politicians.

They don't even mention the country Iran or the war by name, because it's a DNC op and the DNC also supports war in Iran. They don't mention Israel or Gaza, because the main organizers and funders are Zionist. They have no concrete demands. It's a distraction, a release valve, controlled opposition.

Imagine being king of a gulf monarchy watching the "no kings" protests. Probably censored.

America isn't getting exports from Iran, until recently they were sanctioned. More of a problem is that the biggest buyer of Iranian oil is China. I don't think that getting out of the war with Iran by starting a war with China would be an improvement.

> America isn't getting exports from Iran

Single market. Every barrel China buys from Iran is a barrel it doesn’t scour the global markets for.

> getting out of the war with Iran by starting a war with China

China isn’t getting into a war with America over the Strait.


> Single market.

Not really, they were getting discounted oil prices previously that they are no longer able to get.

Also, they are a large importer of oil compared to the US, which is an exporter. They have much more to lose from high oil prices than we do.


> America isn't getting exports from Iran

Single market. Every barrel China buys from Iran is a barrel it doesn’t scour the global markets for.


> They won't do anything to crazy.

I don't know, they've been talking up a lot of crazy stuff, like strikes on desalination facilities and the power grid.

> The craziest thing they could do is 'full invasion' and Congress won't allow that.

Genuninely unclear to me whether Congress has control here; don't they currently have a Republican majority who will agree to anything anyway?


- So I meant militarily. Yes - you're right, they could totally do something as stupid as attack civilian infrastructure. I totally buy that.

- Congress is in charge. First - they need budget, and the GOP majority has zero appetiate for approving this.

Remember that most of the GOP dislike Trump, and they also don't like this war, it's risky to the US - and - their own jobs.

So the GOP finds ways to 'resit' Trump without sticking their neck out. They do this collectively by grumbling and not passing legislation.

The majority leaders tell Trump 'We just don't have the votes for it!' thereby not taking a position against Trump, more or less 'blaming the ghosts in the party' kind of thing.

That's very different than passing legislation that reels Trump in, that's 'active defiance'.

So by 'passive defiance' and not approving $, the majority holds the Admin back.

Remember that nobody wants this, not the VP, not Rubio. Hegseth is a 'TV Entertainer'. The Defence Establishment and Intelligence Establishment knows this is stupid. 80% of Congress wants it over now.

If DJT has 65% poularity and 75% for the war, the equation would tilt, but as it stands, there is not enough political momentum.

But anything could happen ...

The death or capture of US soldiers could strongly evoke people to move one way or the other.


Clausewitz would say they are the same: the stupid war is the continuation of stupid politics by other means. The objectives are unclear, which prevents them being achieved.

Reality of course is the other way around: the US defense industry gets to build gold toilets (for the White House ballroom built on the ruins of the East Wing), while the Ukranians absolutely must build stuff that works and is cheap or they get a missile on their heads.

The US survived spending a trillion dollars to achieve very little in Iraq and Afghanistan. I'm sure they'll survive spending another trillion over a decade to achieve nothing in Iran other than hundreds of thousands dead.


What do you mean "achieve very little"? A lot of American oligarchs made boatloads of money!

The reality is that most of the Ukrainian leadership is like Timur Mindich - furiously stashing away cash for the day when they inevitably have to flee to the west like he did. For now they are generally safe in Ukraine as Russia avoids bombing leadership centers for strategic reasons.

The west tolerates nearly all of the corruption in Ukraine but keeps tight control of two political organs in Ukraine - NABU and SAPO.

These "anti corruption agencies" will mostly hear and see no evil until a politican in Ukraine deviates from western foreign policy goals. Then they "discover" how corrupt this one individual turned out to be and crack down on them until everybody is once again on the same page.

Twice they have threatened Zelensky (once when he tried to bring the agencies under his direct control) and twice he has backed down.


Leaders being corrupt is not a great reason to let a country get steamrolled by the russian war machine

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Being steamrolled requires Russia have the logistics to drive a steamroller more than a hundred yards. There is a reason it was intended to be a three day war.

Bombing a school is unconscionable but its a shadow of Russia's crimes in Ukraine.


It has been inevitable for more that three years, I'm sure you'll be proven right any day now!

Surely, Ukraine being such an awefully corrupt country, Putin was easily able to bribe his way to Kyiv and take it in three short days. Oh, wait... maybe someone is spewing russian propaganda here?

> We could learn from our allies in Ukraine. Give them capital and manufacturing bases in America

I think the Ukranians are still unimpressed with the withdrawal of US support, especially from the shells which were being manufactured in the US (now moved to Rheinmetall), and the de-sanctioning of Russian oil: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cm2871wyz9ko


Ukrainians are unimpressed that US no longer supports war to exhaustion. US in unimpressed that Ukraine supported other side in elections

Problem is that US wants to distance itself instead of ending the conflict


> US in unimpressed that Ukraine supported other side in elections

Sorry, what is "the other side" exactly?


US doesn't actually have a way to end the Ukraine war. It doesn't have a way to end the Iran war either. Other than unconditional surrender.

Did I miss something? When did Ukraine support any side in elections?

US in unimpressed that Ukraine supported other side in elections

Considering that Trump literally tried to blackmail Zelenskyy in his first term, why on earth would they have supported him in 2020?


> the data is first stored in a local "COMM Buffer" and then the system will handle the actual transmission transparently.

People younger than me may want to read up on UUCP/NNTP/Fidonet systems, which did this. Ideal if you don't have FTL communications, or are just limited to a really slow phone line.

> People get on social media to do things, maybe it's gather info, maybe it's to learn, maybe it's to make contact etc.

Yes, exactly. There's this odd cognitive dissonance because people who make social networks are really into the process of "making a social network", but for everyone else it's a means to an end, and usually as part of a "community", however that ends up being defined.

> Think about it this way: if you build a social media, then you WILL inherit all the problems of social media as well

Yes - and those are not new. A certain segment of people are optimistic/privileged enough to not believe the problems are real until it's too late.


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