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Isn't the prompt then whatever token is token zero?

Altman has estimated one year until ChatGPT is capable of measuring time passed.

https://tech.yahoo.com/ai/chatgpt/articles/chatgpt-fails-mis...


Sounds like Musk setting deadlines for Mars landings.

It's so hard to predict you know, these planets keep moving...

Can’t tell if you are being sarcastic but Altman’s whole job is to make bullshit near future predictions about rapid development of AI in the public.

Thankyou for stating the obvious, for some reason we need to repeat this. ^^;

There's no need to "estimate" it. "Time" is not something built into training and sampling a generative distribution. He might as well have told you your Naive Bayes email filters will measure time passed.

In case you're wondering who they mean by "AI experts", I checked the Pew poll:

> Note: “AI experts” refer to individuals whose work or research relates to AI. The AI experts surveyed are those who were authors or presenters at an AI-related conference in 2023 or 2024 and live in the U.S. Expert views are only representative of those who responded.


By now they would have done a sweep with Mythos to remove any existing bugs and protect it from any cybersecurity attacks. So what could realistically bring it down at this point? Internal espionage?

Really can't tell if you're being sarcastic or not. But clearly there's no silver bullet here. Mythos is not the end of software engineering

> sweep with Mythos to remove any existing bugs and protect it from any cybersecurity attacks

Maybe Mythos went in too hard and removed the physical network too?


It went rogue

Didn't they rush to integrate ChatGPT into their OS back in 2024? Reality doesn't seem to align with your description.

I wouldn't describe it as 'rushed'. Its integrated pretty much exactly the way they said it would be, as a fall-back from Siri when you ask world knowledge questions.

The part that doesn't work is having Siri locally smart enough to use it as a tool.


I used "rushed" because they decided to add it while everyone was still figuring out what it was for. That behaviour goes against the OP's claim that Apple "waits to understand what the thing is capable of doing" before acting.

It feels like we're rewriting history. There was a lot of blowback at the time.


They certainly announced they were going to. I've yet to meet someone who actually used that integration. Like many of these things, it seems to have been a sop to the investors who were accusing apple of ignoring the AI wave

I feel like Altman's PR team is dropping the ball. We somehow need to get the word out that AI tools will benefit all of humanity, not detract from it.

I don't think AI is benefiting humanity when you consider: - It's heavy use in military and surveillance engagements - The billions+ spent, yet no economic gains were noted - The pressure on white-collar jobs

The threat to AI far exceeds any benefits I can see.


Did something change? HN has always been very pro-AI until recently, and now it seems to have swung dramatically the other way. Not one comment even agreeing with me.

Is this really the case though? Currently it appears to benefiting a small few and there is not much reason to think it will change going forward.

If 95% of jobs go away, the destabilization leads to violent conflicts, and power and wealth become more centralized does it really matter if we have better healthcare or automated cars? Will people have purpose in their lives? Will this be a better world for most?


When they’re saying that most people will be unemployable in a few years and there is no plan to fix that…in a country where you go hungry and homeless without a job, people will get a bit restless.

Altman has made suggestions on how to fix this. I believe his main one is for AI to be subsidised so that it remains free for public use. The public could then use those free tokens to enrich themselves and offset any negative societal impacts.

This is obviously unworkable and delusional. Not sure what kind of worldview would produce this type of idea and see it as practical. Maybe more exposure to normal people is needed instead of being insulated in the AI filter bubble.

Okay.

So are we seeing a massive lobbying effort by Altman and OpenAI to make this happen? Or is this another "maybe we can build a dyson sphere?"

OpenAI was a nonprofit and then it was restructured to be a for-profit corporation. That seems like the opposite of what he claims to advocate for if we look at his actual actions.


idk, maybe Altman should stop giving interviews talking about how he’s going to get rich making everyone’s job obsolete. Just a thought! Any PR firms hiring?

He’s already rich, he doesn’t even own any stock in OpenAI, and the societal (and geopolitical) changes are coming from AI no matter what Sam Altman does. Should he just not talk about it?

People are stupid, but not stupid enough not to see right through the lie that AI will benefit all of humanity. This is exactly why they are throwing molotovs at his house.

Then these companies can make the AIs they build a publicly owned good that is free for everyone.

What I instead see is a massive system of rents that will be affordable only by other businesses who replace their workers and leave tons of people out in the cold with no income and minimal access to these tools.


Question: if I disallow all of OpenAI's crawlers, do they detect this and retroactively filter out all of my data from other corpuses, such as CommonCrawl?

The fact is my data exists in corpuses used by OpenAI before I was even aware anyone was scraping it. I'm wondering what can be done about that, if anything.


Maybe they're about to open source their weights?

I wish I had your optimism.

I’m still waiting for that open iMessage standard steve promised. Maybe this year?


I feel like right now is the worst time to be idle. Stopping to smell the roses or lie on the grass when you could be spinning up agents and burning tokens means you'll be left in the dust.

Anybody can spin up agents and burn tokens. There is nothing special or particularly valuable about that.

Oh you will, will you? And what, pray tell, happens in this dust you’re left in? What’s the reward for working so hard right now? More work? What a rotten deal.

It’s common for people on their death beds to wish they had spent more time relaxing. It’s not common for anyone to wish they had spent more time working.

The sentiment you’re expressing has been sold to us for a long time, way before “agents” were a thing. “You have to work harder, pull yourself by your bootstraps, build a company, spend all your free time on side projects, …”. It’s a grift designed to keep you busy, selfish, and brain dead, oblivious to your own condition and the state of the world. Stop drinking the Kool-Aid.


Said the Hare to the Tortoise.

If you read the whole fable, the hare lost because he stopped to lie in the grass.

If he had just kept going, he would have won easily. It would have been embarrassing for the tortoise.


It might be hard for people in other countries to fathom, but Americans, by and large, want this.

That is not true. Half or more of us are disgusted. His supporters will say it’s just his bluster and didn’t expect him to follow through. It’s sickening.

I stick with Nate Silver on how to weight and average the polls.

https://www.natesilver.net/p/iran-war-polls-popularity-appro...

53.8% disapproval


38% approval, roughly the same percentage of people who will support anything Trump does.

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